Speaker · Updated
Matt Zeigler: latest market views
Excess Returns
Summary
Matt Zeigler is a host of the Excess Returns investing podcast, where he interviews investors and strategists on macro, portfolio construction and market structure.
Chorus has 5 views from Matt Zeigler across 2 episodes on Excess Returns since October 11, 2026.
What they talk about most
- Professional services & law · 2
- Consumer AI products · 1
- US Treasuries & yields · 1
- AI infrastructure & data centers · 1
The latest views
Newest first. Every quote is checked against the episode's transcript.
Professional services & law
AI roughly doubles to triples content output at his firm, with advisory productivity up 30 to 40%.
Zeigler reports measured gains at his advisory and podcast business. For podcast production, including prep, editing, publishing and distribution, AI makes two or three people's work doable by the team of two or three, where they would previously have needed outsourcing. He puts the productivity gain on the advisory side of his practice at around 30 to 40%. He says the gains come from individual tools getting better, not yet from step changes. He expects an industry-wide step function next year or sooner, once tools talk to each other, though compliance layers slow that.
“On the advisory side of my day to day work, I still think the productivity gains are probably, like, 30%, 30, 40%.”at 16:45
Excess Returns: AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again? ·
Professional services & law
AI meeting notes and document access make advisers better at recalling client life details, improving trust.
Zeigler argues AI has strengthened the team-based model in his firm. Shared meeting notes and annual review notes are easy to access, which has increased team interactions with clients. Previously, an assistant had to read notes to remind an adviser to ask about a client's trip or a child's new job. Now a planning director can pull up a reconciliation from two years ago from the planning document. He calls this making advisers better at being human, and it is a positive human impact rather than a replacement of relationships.
“The biggest lift of whether it's the meeting notes, whether it's the annual review notes, and the accessibility to those documents has increased the team based interactions with the individual clients on the other side.”at 24:24
Excess Returns: AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again? ·
Easier AI tools like MetaMuse will bring mass consumer adoption beyond today's power users.
Zeigler argues that the current wave of AI use is driven by people willing to iterate many times, and that most people will not do that or fill out obscure forms to get results. He believes simpler tools such as MetaMuse will let far more people start exploring AI. He gives the example of a friend who used an earlier chatbot for lunch recommendations and questions whether it changed her habits, to contrast with what he expects from the next wave.
“Most people are not gonna iterate 15 times or don't have to fill out some obscure form... It seems like what this is doing and allowing is some people to start exploring this.”at 38:03
Excess Returns: AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again? ·
Bonds are more competitive than in his career, hitting return targets without complex strategies.
Zeigler says he has been excited about bonds over the last quarter as yields backed up, and that yields are attractive in a way he has not seen since the post-GFC period and the brief 2022 blip. He argues investors can now reach return targets with yield and less equity risk, without having to reverse-engineer complicated structures. He notes that his work building portfolios for pensions and endowments during the ZIRP era left him with less experience of this environment.
“This is the first time in my career, same thing, outside of just when the GFC was ending, where I've looked and gone, bonds are really competitive, and you don't have to reverse engineer some concoction to get to these return targets you're looking for.”at 1:08:31
Excess Returns: AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again? ·
AI infrastructure & data centers
AI buildout spending has a finite limit; high valuations likely slow growth or stall.
Zeigler argues the heavy capital spending on AI infrastructure must eventually hit a boundary. Companies spend large sums building out capacity, and if their valuations are pushed sharply higher, that will likely at least slow the rate of growth, or leave the stocks trading sideways for a long time. He says he has been thinking about this most. He also notes that some of these businesses benefit from the infrastructure being in place, and that recent agent and tool use cases are making the benefit feel closer. He frames the cycle as one that will come in its own waves.
“there has to be some finite boundary on the other side of this. I don't think we just keep on expanding this. Maybe we do, but that's gonna come in its own cycles.”at 1:14:32
Excess Returns: The Winners That Get Away | Chris Davis and Robert Hagstrom on Holding Great Businesses ·
Shows
- Excess Returns · 2 episodes
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